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zizhenchen47-osszizhenchen47-oss/claude-skills/counterfactual-reasoning/SKILL.md

counterfactual-reasoning

Skill0 starsChanged 5 months agoNo licenceView on GitHub

当需要评估'如果某一事实/行为/条件不存在或发生改变,法律结果将如何不同'时触发此技能。典型触发场景包括:因果关系认定(若无该行为,损害是否仍会发生)、过错与责任比例划分、损害赔偿范围确定、合同违约损失计算、行政行为合法性假设检验、刑事因果关系中断判断、立法影响评估等。核心方法是构建一个与现实世界仅在目标变量上不同的'反事实世界',比较两个世界的结果差异,从而得出目标变量对结果的贡献程度。

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