conclusion-sensitivity
Skill2 starsChanged 6 months agoApache-2.0View on GitHub
Map which assumptions are load-bearing by assessing how the conclusion changes if each assumption fails.
In this repository119 other files it gives its agents.
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- The first 60 shown.
The file
We split this skill into the rules it gives an agent
1 rule. About 0 are common, 1 is distinctive, and 0 are very specific to this project.
≈0
Common · estimate
Many files like this have a rule of this kind.
≈1
Distinctive · estimate
This author's own choices. Worth a look.
0
Very specific
Tied to their project's names, files or tools. Probably skip.
- Common
- Distinctive
- Very specific
- Distinctive: line 21
Must consider interaction effects between assumptions
≈ “Common” is an estimate: at least 1 in 5 of the 350,495 skill files we read have a rule of the same kind, not the same words. “Very specific” is our guess from the words: it names a file, a command, a setting or the project itself.
Files
Conclusion Sensitivity
Maps the relationship between assumptions and conclusions — identifying which assumptions are load-bearing (conclusion changes if they fail) versus decorative (conclusion holds regardless). Produces a sensitivity map for decision-makers.
Execution
Spawns a subagent that takes all extracted assumptions and their challenges, then maps conclusion sensitivity to each.
Why Subagent
- Sensitivity analysis requires holistic view across all assumptions simultaneously
- Must consider interaction effects between assumptions
- Isolation ensures objective assessment without motivated reasoning
HARD-GATE
Output must include:
- Sensitivity rating for every assumption
- Identification of critical assumptions (conclusion-changing)
- Interaction effects between assumptions
- Overall decision robustness rating
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