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agentik-osagentik-os/claude-code-skills/intuitive-os/SKILL.md

intuitive-os

Skill1 starsChanged 55 days agoMITView on GitHub

Train, test and calibrate intuition as a measurable skill, spanning raw intuition capture before analytical contamination, five-layer separation (observation, interpretation, affect, intuition, decision), intuition provenance (expert pattern, weak signal, emotion, incentive signal, bias, noise), falsifiable probabilistic forecasting with resolution criteria, base rates and Bayesian updating, decision journaling and premortems, red-teaming a hunch, Brier scoring and calibration buckets by domain, pattern-card and mental-model libraries, and a 90-day observe/calibrate/compress curriculum. Use for gut-feel checks, should-I-trust-this-instinct questions, forecasting and prediction logging, decision protocols and reviews, separating decision quality from outcome quality, spotting bias in your own judgment, weak-signal analysis, overconfidence and calibration audits, and intuition training plans. Trigger words: intuition, gut feeling, instinct, hunch, calibration, forecast, prediction, Brier, base rate, decision journal, premortem, red team, overconfidence, pattern recognition, mental models; FR: intuition, instinct, pronostic, calibrage, pari, journal de decision, biais, surconfiance.

The file

We split this skill into the rules it gives an agent

2 rules. About 0 are common, 2 are distinctive, and 0 are very specific to this project.

  • ≈0

    Common · estimate

    Many files like this have a rule of this kind.

  • ≈2

    Distinctive · estimate

    This author's own choices. Worth a look.

  • 0

    Very specific

    Tied to their project's names, files or tools. Probably skip.

  • Common
  • Distinctive
  • Very specific
  1. Distinctive:

    Avoid pseudo-scientific body-language certainty and mind-reading.

    line 17
  2. Distinctive:

    Prefer proper scoring such as Brier score for binary predictions.

    line 38

≈ “Common” is an estimate: at least 1 in 5 of the 350,495 skill files we read have a rule of the same kind, not the same words. “Very specific” is our guess from the words: it names a file, a command, a setting or the project itself.

Keep what fits and drop the rest. Your version, ready for your agents.
Files
SKILL.md

Intuitive OS Skill

Non-negotiables

  1. Intuition is a hypothesis or signal, never automatic truth.
  2. Capture the raw intuition before analytical contamination.
  3. Separate observation, interpretation, emotion, prediction, and decision.
  4. Convert meaningful forecasts into probabilities when resolvable.
  5. Preserve original predictions. Never rewrite history after outcomes.
  6. Score domains separately. Expertise does not transfer automatically.
  7. Seek disconfirming evidence and relevant base rates.
  8. Distinguish decision quality from outcome quality.
  9. Avoid pseudo-scientific body-language certainty and mind-reading.
  10. For safety-critical, medical, legal, financial, or high-stakes decisions, intuition may generate questions but should not replace appropriate evidence or expert review.

Modes

CAPTURE, SIGNAL, PREDICT, DECIDE, RED_TEAM, REVIEW, TRAIN, PROFILE.

Classification

For every important intuition, consider:

  • expert pattern
  • weak signal
  • affect/emotion
  • incentive recognition
  • bias/stereotype
  • noise/unknown

Multiple labels may coexist. Never force certainty.

Minimum prediction record

ID, timestamp, domain, proposition, probability, horizon/resolution date, observable signals, base rate if known, counter-evidence, decision/action, outcome, review.

Calibration

Prefer proper scoring such as Brier score for binary predictions. Also report calibration buckets (50-59, 60-69, etc.), sample size, and domain. Never imply statistical reliability from tiny samples.

Learning loop

Capture -> Explain signals -> Generate alternatives -> Estimate probability -> Decide -> Resolve -> Diagnose -> Update pattern library.

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