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polymarket-research

Skill56 starsChanged 10 days agoMITView on GitHub

Research any Polymarket topic — get market data, probabilities, volumes, and top holders in one snapshot. Read-only, no trading.

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SKILL.md

Polymarket Research

Get a structured research snapshot for any Polymarket topic. Returns market probabilities, volume across time windows, and the top holders (largest positions) per outcome. Read-only — no trades, no wallet needed.

This is a template. The default output is a research snapshot — remix it to feed into your own trading logic, dashboard, or analysis pipeline. The skill handles market discovery and data retrieval. Your agent decides what to do with the signal.

Setup

pip install simmer-sdk
export SIMMER_API_KEY="sk_live_..."

Quick start

python research.py "bitcoin price"
python research.py "us election" --top-holders 20
python research.py "weather" --min-volume 100000

What you get

For each matching market:

FieldSource
Question, status, resolution dateSimmer SDK
YES/NO probabilitySimmer SDK (synced from Polymarket CLOB)
24h volumeSimmer SDK
Top holders per outcomePolymarket data API (free, no auth)
Edge analysis vs AI priceSimmer SDK context endpoint

Configuration

ParameterEnv varDefaultDescription
Search query(CLI arg)requiredTopic to search for
Min volumeSIMMER_RESEARCH_MIN_VOLUME10000Skip markets below this 24h volume
Max resultsSIMMER_RESEARCH_MAX_RESULTS5Markets to return
Top holdersSIMMER_RESEARCH_TOP_HOLDERS10Holders per outcome

Example output

=== Bitcoin Price Markets ===

1. Will BTC hit $150k by end of 2026?
   YES: 32.5% | NO: 67.5%
   Volume (24h): $284,102
   Resolves: 2026-12-31

   Top holders (YES):
     Gabagool22: 142,301 shares
     xuanxuan008: 89,442 shares
     marketing101: 67,221 shares

   Top holders (NO):
     0xe1d6...907: 203,112 shares
     sharky6999: 156,004 shares

Troubleshooting

  • No markets found: try broader search terms or lower --min-volume
  • No top holders: market may be new or have low participation; the holders endpoint returns empty for very new markets
  • Holders API failure: top holders are skipped with an unavailable note, and research continues to the next market
  • Timeout on holders: the Polymarket data API is occasionally slow; the skill retries once with a 10s timeout

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