ab-test-analysis
Skill2 starsChanged 3 months agoMITView on GitHub
Analyze A/B test results with statistical significance, sample size validation, confidence intervals, and ship/extend/stop recommendations. Use when evaluating experiment results, checking if a test reached significance, interpreting split test data, or deciding whether to ship a variant.
We split this skill into the rules it gives an agent
3 rules. 0 are common, 3 are distinctive, and 0 are very specific to this project.
0
Common
Most of the 4 edited versions we read keep these.
3
Distinctive
This author's own choices. Worth a look.
0
Very specific
Tied to their project's names, files or tools. Probably skip.
- Common
- Distinctive
- Very specific
- Distinctive: line 14
If the user provides data files (CSV, Excel, or analytics exports), read and analyze them directly.
- Distinctive: line 27
Use the formula: n = (Z²α/2 × 2 × p × (1-p)) / MDE²
- Distinctive: line 41
If the user provides raw data, generate and run a Python script to calculate these.
“Common” is measured: kept by at least 6 in 10 of the 4 edited versions of this file we could read. “Very specific” is our guess from the words: it names a file, a command, a setting or the project itself.
Files
A/B Test Analysis
Evaluate A/B test results with statistical rigor and translate findings into clear product decisions.
Context
You are analyzing A/B test results for $ARGUMENTS.
If the user provides data files (CSV, Excel, or analytics exports), read and analyze them directly. Generate Python scripts for statistical calculations when needed.
Instructions
- Understand the experiment:
- What was the hypothesis?
- What was changed (the variant)?
- What is the primary metric? Any guardrail metrics?
- How long did the test run?
- What is the traffic split?
- Validate the test setup:
- Sample size: Is the sample large enough for the expected effect size?
- Use the formula: n = (Z²α/2 × 2 × p × (1-p)) / MDE²
- Flag if the test is underpowered (<80% power)
- Duration: Did the test run for at least 1-2 full business cycles?
- Randomization: Any evidence of sample ratio mismatch (SRM)?
- Novelty/primacy effects: Was there enough time to wash out initial behavior changes?
- Sample size: Is the sample large enough for the expected effect size?
Calculate statistical significance:
- Conversion rate for control and variant
- Relative lift: (variant - control) / control × 100
- p-value: Using a two-tailed z-test or chi-squared test
- Confidence interval: 95% CI for the difference
- Statistical significance: Is p < 0.05?
- Practical significance: Is the lift meaningful for the business?
If the user provides raw data, generate and run a Python script to calculate these.
- Check guardrail metrics:
- Did any guardrail metrics (revenue, engagement, page load time) degrade?
- A winning primary metric with degraded guardrails may not be a true win
Interpret results:
Outcome Recommendation Significant positive lift, no guardrail issues Ship it — roll out to 100% Significant positive lift, guardrail concerns Investigate — understand trade-offs before shipping Not significant, positive trend Extend the test — need more data or larger effect Not significant, flat Stop the test — no meaningful difference detected Significant negative lift Don't ship — revert to control, analyze why - Provide the analysis summary:
## A/B Test Results: [Test Name] **Hypothesis**: [What we expected] **Duration**: [X days] | **Sample**: [N control / M variant] | Metric | Control | Variant | Lift | p-value | Significant? | |---|---|---|---|---|---| | [Primary] | X% | Y% | +Z% | 0.0X | Yes/No | | [Guardrail] | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | **Recommendation**: [Ship / Extend / Stop / Investigate] **Reasoning**: [Why] **Next steps**: [What to do]
Think step by step. Save as markdown. Generate Python scripts for calculations if raw data is provided.
Further Reading
Other versions14 projects use a version of this.
Word for word · 7
- The-Utopia-Studio/skills★ 6100% same
- skytiger6724/qwen-skills★ 2100% same
- miovrag/claude-skills★ 1100% same
- xeroc/skills★ 1100% same
- maeng777/claude-skills★ 0100% same
- stefanomartiradonna/claude-skills★ 0100% same
- vijaysuperpositionist/skills★ 0100% same
Edited · 0
None found.
Wrote their own version · 7
- Zafer-Liu/Data-Analysis-Agent★ 2.6ksame name
- jshsakura/awesome-opencode-skills★ 30same name
- henrique-simoes/Istara★ 15same name
- shisuidata/ss-data-skills★ 8same name
- ThinkingAIAgenticEngine/scenario-skills★ 4same name
- risadams/ink-and-agency★ 2same name
- chaakresh/claude-skills★ 0same name
How matches are found. Word for word: the exact same text. Edited: shares passages with this file (“99% same” means 99% of its five-word phrases also appear here; 10% or more counts). Their own version: similar meaning, or, weakest, the same name. We can’t tell which project had it first. Projects are counted among the 200 most-starred candidates, and mentions are links to the repository we found, up to 50 per site, so both counts are a floor.
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