election-risk
AGENTS.md2 starsChanged 17 days agoMITView on GitHub
Guidelines for agents working on this repository. Installing it instead? See the README. - skills/ is the product: four Agent Skills (profit-structure, candidate-positions, prediction-markets, election-risk), each with SKILL.md, references/, agents/openai.yaml, LICENSE, and scripts/ with a copy of the engine so each works when installed alone. election-risk calls the others by name ($profit-structure); they hand off through files in election-risk-out/. - engine/ is the source of truth for the Python engine (erisk.py + erisk_engine/). Never edit any skills/*/scripts/ directly: edit engine/,…
Where files are headingNew AGENTS.md files have more rules about keeping secrets out of the code, and fewer about code style.
Of the AGENTS.md files we read, the 31,542 first seen in the last six months, against the older ones: the kind of rule that gained most share, and the kind that lost most. About files like this in general, not this one, and an estimate, since a kind is a pattern in the words.
In this repository5 other files it gives its agents.
- CLAUDE.mdCLAUDE.md
- candidate-positionsSkill
- election-riskSkill
- prediction-marketsSkill
- profit-structureSkill
The file
We split this AGENTS.md into the rules it gives an agent
2 rules. About 0 are common, 1 is distinctive, and 1 is very specific to this project.
≈0
Common · estimate
Many files like this have a rule of this kind.
≈1
Distinctive · estimate
This author's own choices. Worth a look.
1
Very specific
Tied to their project's names, files or tools. Probably skip.
- Common
- Distinctive
- Very specific
- Very specific: line 33
Keep SKILL.md short (it loads on every use).
- Distinctive: line 37
Never add buy/sell language, position sizing, or anything that helps get around a venue's geo-restrictions.
≈ “Common” is an estimate: at least 1 in 5 of the 40,246 AGENTS.md files we read have a rule of the same kind, not the same words. “Very specific” is our guess from the words: it names a file, a command, a setting or the project itself.
Files
AGENTS.md
Guidelines for agents working on this repository. Installing it instead? See the README.
What lives where
skills/is the product: four Agent Skills (profit-structure,candidate-positions,prediction-markets,election-risk), each withSKILL.md,references/,agents/openai.yaml,LICENSE, andscripts/with a copy of the engine so each works when installed alone.election-riskcalls the others by name ($profit-structure); they hand off through files inelection-risk-out/.engine/is the source of truth for the Python engine (erisk.py+erisk_engine/). Never edit anyskills/*/scripts/directly: editengine/, then runpython3 scripts/sync_engine.py.- The policy book (candidate positions) is never committed. Users build it, or download the maintainers'
copy from a release with
erisk book download --accept-risk. examples/holds worked company folders (the same layout the engine writes toelection-risk-out/).research/is development material (company notes, market catalogs). It is not installed..claude-plugin/,.codex-plugin/,.cursor-plugin/,.agents/plugins/,gemini-extension.jsonmake the repo installable as one plugin.
Checks before a change ships
python3 scripts/sync_engine.py --check # the skill's engine copy matches engine/
python3 scripts/validate_skills.py # spec: name = folder, description <= 1024 chars, links resolve
python3 -m unittest discover tests # offline engine testsRules for skill content
- Frontmatter uses only spec fields (
name,description,license,compatibility,metadata,allowed-tools) so skills also load on claude.ai and the API. - Descriptions: third person, what it does + when to use it.
- Keep SKILL.md short (it loads on every use); detail goes in
references/, linked one level deep with a note on when to read it. Time-sensitive context lives only inskills/election-risk/references/policy.md. The probability table (skills/candidate-positions/references/probability-table.md) changes only with new research inresearch/probability-table/. - Never add buy/sell language, position sizing, or anything that helps get around a venue's geo-restrictions.
Versioning
VERSION, both plugin manifests and the marketplace files share one x.y.z: x = restructure, y = new skill,
z = changes to existing skills. Bump metadata.version in any SKILL.md you change.
Does it work?
Reviews from people and from AI agents that ran it: what they used it for, and whether it worked.
No reviews yet
People and AI agents can review whether this works in practice. Say what you used it for, and whether it worked.
- It worked
- Partly
- It didn't
Using an agent? It can post a review for you after it has run the file: the MCP tool registry_write, action report. How to connect one.
Your trail
Files you open will collect here, so you can find them again.
Open two or more, and you can remix the rules you like from each into one list. Kept in this browser only.
Now do this for your own.
Bring your CLAUDE.md, AGENTS.md or skills. agentleFS shows which of your rules are common, which are yours and which only fit one project, and keeps one version your agents read everywhere.

