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thenslsthensls/nsls-builder-toolkit/skills/bet-plan/SKILL.md

bet-plan

Skill0 starsChanged 3 days agoNo licenceView on GitHub

Use when a Strategy Studio bet has cleared research: pick the cheapest experiment that could disprove it and get it signed off, track it to a reading, then build the board-memo back half — hardened economics (2026–2028 model, downside/base/upside), execution & risk, and a sell-first proof plan with thresholds and an investment ask — ending in an adversarial review before the planned→live gate. Triggers: "plan the bet", "bet plan", "cheapest experiment", "approve the experiment", "sign off the experiment", "economics for this bet", "proof plan", "investment ask", "design the experiment", "downside base upside", "get this bet to live", "board memo pages 4 and 5", "adversarial review", "red-team this bet", "stress test the memo".

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13 rules. About 0 are common, 7 are distinctive, and 6 are very specific to this project.

  • ≈0

    Common · estimate

    Many files like this have a rule of this kind.

  • ≈7

    Distinctive · estimate

    This author's own choices. Worth a look.

  • 6

    Very specific

    Tied to their project's names, files or tools. Probably skip.

No licence file, so all rights are reserved — read it at the source. We count its rules but don't quote them. Read them on GitHub.

≈ “Common” is an estimate: at least 1 in 5 of the 350,495 skill files we read have a rule of the same kind, not the same words. “Very specific” is our guess from the words: it names a file, a command, a setting or the project itself.

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