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rgourleyrgourley/quant-garage/skills/commodity-cycle/SKILL.md

commodity-cycle

Skill7 starsChanged 4 months agoLicence not identifiedView on GitHub

Single-commodity macro read. Answers "is this commodity in a winning or losing macro setup right now" and names the macro driver that dominates it. Pulls one commodity ETF (default GLD; accepts SLV, USO, DBC, or any commodity ETF) plus the macro context it needs (UUP for the dollar, TIP and IEF for a real-yield proxy, and GDX/SLV for gold's miner and silver co-move set) and computes the drivers that push the commodity around: rolling DXY correlation, real-yield correlation (vs the TIP-minus-IEF spread), miner divergence (gold only), silver co-movement (gold only), and a momentum quintile. The take reads constructive / neutral / headwind and names the dominant variable. It would have flagged a gold drawdown two weeks early via the dollar and real-yield readings. Use when the question is about one commodity specifically ("is gold in trouble", "what's driving crude", "is the dollar the problem for gold"). Runs on any stocks tier (Free Basic works with --sleep 13).

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The file

We split this skill into the rules it gives an agent

1 rule. About 0 are common, 1 is distinctive, and 0 are very specific to this project.

  • ≈0

    Common · estimate

    Many files like this have a rule of this kind.

  • ≈1

    Distinctive · estimate

    This author's own choices. Worth a look.

  • 0

    Very specific

    Tied to their project's names, files or tools. Probably skip.

The licence could not be identified — read it at the source. We count its rules but don't quote them. Read them on GitHub.

≈ “Common” is an estimate: at least 1 in 5 of the 350,495 skill files we read have a rule of the same kind, not the same words. “Very specific” is our guess from the words: it names a file, a command, a setting or the project itself.

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