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reutavidanreutavidan/zetesis-plugin/skills/as-of/SKILL.md

as-of

Skill0 starsChanged 3 months agoMITView on GitHub

Reconstruct what the published evidence on a topic actually contained in a given year, using only sources available by then.

The file

We split this skill into the rules it gives an agent

1 rule. About 0 are common, 0 are distinctive, and 1 is very specific to this project.

  • ≈0

    Common · estimate

    Many files like this have a rule of this kind.

  • ≈0

    Distinctive · estimate

    This author's own choices. Worth a look.

  • 1

    Very specific

    Tied to their project's names, files or tools. Probably skip.

  • Common
  • Distinctive
  • Very specific
  1. Very specific:

    Run zetesis_scope and then zetesis_evidence with as_of set to that year.

    line 14

≈ “Common” is an estimate: at least 1 in 5 of the 350,495 skill files we read have a rule of the same kind, not the same words. “Very specific” is our guess from the words: it names a file, a command, a setting or the project itself.

Keep what fits and drop the rest. Your version, ready for your agents.
Files
SKILL.md

What the evidence said, as of a year

Request: $ARGUMENTS — expected to name a claim or topic and a year. If the year is missing, ask for it; it is the whole point of this skill.

What to do

Run zetesis_scope and then zetesis_evidence with as_of set to that year. Set include_capital: true as well if the topic involves who was funding or filing on it; that pass is off by default, so NIH grant and SEC filing records are otherwise absent. Retrieval is fenced to sources published, registered, or filed on or before 31 December of it, and two fields that leak later outcomes are suppressed: a trial's present-day status, and FDA labels that took effect after the cutoff.

Then answer as a reader at the end of that year could have, from the returned bundle: what was established, what was suggestive, what was contested, and what had simply not been done yet. Distinguish those four clearly. Say plainly which questions were open.

The discipline that makes this worth anything

You know how this turned out. Set that aside. The output is a reconstruction of the evidence base, not a verdict informed by hindsight, and it is worthless if hindsight leaks in.

Concretely: do not write that a result "was later overturned", "would go on to fail", or "we now know". If the user asks what happened next, answer separately and label it clearly as outside the reconstruction.

Judge derivation quality, not outcome. A well-derived claim can fail later and a badly derived one can succeed, so "the evidence at the time reasonably supported this" and "this turned out to be true" are different findings and should not be conflated.

Reporting

Lead with what a careful reader would have concluded that year, in one or two sentences. Then the evidence by hard id, oldest to newest. Then the open questions.

Note the cutoff explicitly in the output, and say how many later sources the fence withheld if the bundle reports it, so the reader knows the boundary was real.

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