seykota-systematic-trend

---
name: seykota-systematic-trend
description: "Use when evaluating Ed Seykota-style systematic trend following: mechanical rules, long-term trend capture, small losses, position sizing, whipsaw tolerance, and emotional discipline."
invest: ./invest.md
---

# Seykota Systematic Trend

Use this skill to apply Ed Seykota-style systematic trend following: define mechanical entries and exits, cut losses, ride winners, size by volatility, and avoid overriding the system emotionally.

## When To Use

- Systematic trend-following strategy design
- Futures/FX/crypto trend system review
- Whipsaw, drawdown, and risk discipline discussion
- Rule-based trading process design

Trigger phrases include `Seykota`, `systematic trend`, `trend following`, `ride winners`, `cut losses`, `whipsaw`, and `mechanical system`.

## Process

1. Define objective trend rule.
2. Define exit and stop rule before entry.
3. Size by volatility and total portfolio heat.
4. Accept whipsaws as cost of catching trends.
5. Monitor system adherence, not prediction quality.

## Output Format

```md
# Seykota Trend View: [Strategy / Market]

## Verdict
Follow System / Reduce Risk / Stop Out / No System Edge

## Rules
## Risk Per Trade
## Portfolio Heat
## Whipsaw Risk
## Discipline Check
```

## Guardrails

- Do not override the system because of a story.
- Do not increase size after losses.
- Do not expect high win rate from trend following.

## Questflow Use

In Questflow, this skill is best used for systematic trend rules, risk sizing, and discipline monitoring.