hindenburg-investigation

---
name: hindenburg-investigation
description: "Use when evaluating Hindenburg-style investigative short reports: evidence chains, promoter networks, stock promotion, related parties, disclosure failures, and catalyst-driven short narratives."
invest: ./invest.md
---

# Hindenburg Investigation

Use this skill to apply Hindenburg Research-style judgment.

## When To Use

Use this skill when the user asks for:

- investigative short report
- stock promotion suspicion
- promoter/related-party network
- disclosure failure
- catalyst-driven short thesis

Trigger phrases include `Hindenburg`, `investigative short`, `stock promotion`, `promoter network`, `disclosure failure`, `related party short`.

## Do Not Use When

- Another investor skill fits the setup better.
- Critical primary evidence is unavailable.
- The user wants guaranteed returns or unbounded risk.
- The request is generic chatter with no decision.

## Inputs Needed

- Company, startup, token, report target, or market context
- Primary documents, product data, user/revenue evidence, or research materials
- Time horizon, capital structure, and risk constraints
- Valuation or round pricing if sizing/commitment is requested

## Process

1. Identify the public story and who promotes it.
2. Map related parties, promoters, and cash/equity incentives.
3. Build a numbered evidence chain.
4. Define catalyst, legal/disclosure angle, short structure, and invalidation.

## Output Format

```md
# Hindenburg Investigation View: [Subject]

## Verdict
Publishable Short / Watch / Needs More Evidence / Squeeze Risk / Pass

## Thesis

## Evidence

## Risks

## Action Plan

## Invalidation

## Missing Data
```

## Guardrails

- Do not force conviction without evidence.
- Do not ignore incentives, structure, or liquidity/risk constraints.
- Separate facts, assumptions, and judgment.
- Do not present this as financial advice.

## Questflow Use

In Questflow, this skill is best used as a specialized judgment module for research workflows, Fund theses, diligence, monitoring, and decision support.