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polymarket

Skill0 starsChanged 9 months agoMITView on GitHub

Use when the user asks about prediction markets, crypto event probabilities, market expectations, or what the crowd is betting on. Fetches crypto-related prediction market odds from Polymarket.

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SKILL.md

Polymarket Prediction Markets

Prediction market odds for crypto events — crowd-sourced probabilities.

API

  • Source: Polymarket Gamma API (gamma-api.polymarket.com)
  • Auth: None (free, public)
  • Rate limit: Not documented
  • Note: Gamma API is unofficial and may change without notice

Usage

uv run skills/polymarket/scripts/polymarket.py [options]

Options

FlagDefaultDescription
--limit10Number of markets to return
--min-volume1000Minimum volume USD to filter noise
--min-liquidity500Minimum liquidity USD

Output (SignalOutput v1)

{
  "schema": "signal/v1",
  "signal": "bullish|bearish|neutral",
  "confidence": 0-100,
  "reasoning": "Crowd expects 72% BTC above 100k by Q2, bullish consensus",
  "data": {
    "crypto_markets": [
      {
        "question": "Will BTC exceed $100k by June 2026?",
        "probability": 0.72,
        "volume_usd": 45000,
        "liquidity_usd": 12000,
        "end_date": "2026-06-30",
        "orientation": "bullish",
        "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/..."
      }
    ],
    "avg_bullish_probability": 0.65,
    "market_count": 8
  }
}

Notes

  • Filters only crypto-related markets using keyword matching
  • Classifies market orientation (bullish/bearish) by question text
  • Gamma API is unofficial — include API fragility warning in output

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