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ahines99ahines99/pe-value-creation-os/skills/saas-unit-economics/SKILL.md

saas-unit-economics

Skill0 starsChanged 45 days agoApache-2.0View on GitHub

Assess SaaS growth efficiency and unit economics for a portfolio company (ARR bridge, NRR/GRR, CAC payback, LTV/CAC, magic number, burn multiple, Rule of 40, gross margin) using deterministic metric tools, then turn weaknesses into evidence-cited findings and sales-efficiency or gross-margin opportunities. Use for go-to-market efficiency, sales productivity, "are the unit economics healthy", or growth-vs-profitability questions.

The file

We split this skill into the rules it gives an agent

3 rules. About 0 are common, 2 are distinctive, and 1 is very specific to this project.

  • ≈0

    Common · estimate

    Many files like this have a rule of this kind.

  • ≈2

    Distinctive · estimate

    This author's own choices. Worth a look.

  • 1

    Very specific

    Tied to their project's names, files or tools. Probably skip.

  • Common
  • Distinctive
  • Very specific
  1. Distinctive:

    Period mismatch: Every ratio must use aligned periods.

    line 32
  2. Very specific:

    High burn multiple with healthy payback: Look outside go-to-market: G&A and R&D growth vs revenue growth, from get_financials.

    line 48
  3. Distinctive:

    Never size "grow faster" as an opportunity on its own.

    line 56

≈ “Common” is an estimate: at least 1 in 5 of the 350,495 skill files we read have a rule of the same kind, not the same words. “Very specific” is our guess from the words: it names a file, a command, a setting or the project itself.

Keep what fits and drop the rest. Your version, ready for your agents.
Files
SKILL.md

Purpose

Diagnose why growth efficiency is weak, not just that it is weak, and route each root cause to the right lever.

Rules

  • Get every metric from compute_saas_metrics(company_id, period). The definitions below are for interpreting and reviewing tool output. Never compute them yourself.
  • The tool reports which variant it used (for example, EBITDA vs FCF margin in Rule of 40). Quote the variant.
  • Screening thresholds live in project://policies and are set by the fund. Use them. Don't substitute remembered "industry benchmarks". For peer context, call get_benchmarks(metric, peer_set) and cite the result.

Metric definitions (house standard)

MetricDefinition
ARR bridgeOpening ARR + new + expansion − contraction − churn = closing ARR
GRR(Opening ARR − contraction − churn) ÷ opening ARR, trailing 12 months, opening cohort only. Cannot exceed 100%.
NRR(Opening ARR + expansion − contraction − churn) ÷ opening ARR, same cohort and window
CAC payback (months)Prior-quarter S&M expense ÷ (net new ARR in quarter × subscription gross margin) × 12
LTV / CAC(ARPA × subscription gross margin ÷ annual dollar churn rate) ÷ CAC per new customer
Magic number(Current-quarter revenue − prior-quarter revenue) × 4 ÷ prior-quarter S&M expense
Burn multipleNet burn ÷ net new ARR, same period
Rule of 40Revenue growth % + profit margin % (variant reported by tool)
Subscription gross marginSubscription revenue less hosting, third-party software, and support COGS, excluding services

Data-quality checks (before interpreting)

  • Bookings vs ARR. Multi-year prepaid contracts, one-time fees, or services revenue counted as ARR inflate every ratio. Check the ARR definition in the data inventory.
  • Capitalized commissions. Under ASC 340-40, commissions may be capitalized. CAC must use commissions paid or expensed as incurred, not amortization. If you can't tell, flag it.
  • S&M allocation. Confirm that customer success and account management are classified consistently. Moving them between S&M and COGS shifts both CAC and gross margin.
  • Entity duplication. Logos with several legal entities distort customer counts and ARPA. Check with the entity-resolution notes in the data inventory.
  • Period mismatch. Every ratio must use aligned periods. The tool enforces this, but check it when combining outputs.

Diagnostic trees

Weak CAC payback or magic number. Decompose in this order:

  1. Spend: S&M growth vs new ARR growth, and mix by channel and segment.
  2. Conversion: win rate and pipeline coverage trend (CRM).
  3. Deal size: ACV trend by segment. If ACV is falling, check discounting with pricing-value-creation.
  4. Capacity: ramped vs unramped reps, attainment distribution.
  5. Margin drag: if subscription gross margin is low, payback is weak even with healthy acquisition. Go to the Low gross margin tree.

Weak NRR. Split into GRR and expansion:

  • GRR weak → hand off to customer-retention.
  • GRR healthy but expansion weak → packaging and upsell path. Hand off to pricing-value-creation.

Low gross margin. Hosting cost per customer or unit of usage, support cost per customer, and services mix. Automation candidates go to ai-opportunity-assessment.

High burn multiple with healthy payback. Look outside go-to-market: G&A and R&D growth vs revenue growth, from get_financials.

Opportunity framing

LeverTypical baseline metricNotes
sales_efficiencys_and_m_expenseSavings at constant new ARR. Flow-through is set server-side. State the assumption that new ARR holds.
gross_marginsubscription_cogsHosting or vendor renegotiation, support efficiency. Add a run cost if tooling is needed.

Never size "grow faster" as an opportunity on its own. Growth levers belong to pricing, retention, or a specific GTM change with evidence.

Output contract

  • Metric table: metric, value, period, variant, evidence id, and peer percentile if benchmarked.
  • Findings, one per root cause, each with evidence ids, recorded with record_finding.
  • Hand-offs to other lever skills, with the reason.
  • Data-quality flags that change interpretation.
  • NEEDS_EVIDENCE items.

Numeric claims and server validation

Before writing a numeric finding or proposal, call get_numeric_sources(company_id). Copy an exact catalog key and use {{quantity:KEY}} in prose; for example Legacy share is {{quantity:pricing.legacy.legacy_arr_share}} only when that key is returned. The server renders metric, value, unit, company, period and evidence together. Do not paste bare values into record_finding or propose_opportunity text, invent keys, or use identifiers as numeric sources. Qualitative wording is allowed. Structured scenario-rate/cost fields remain assumptions and must not be recast as measured facts.

Proposal, draft and submission calls enforce sufficiency, source freshness, policy eligibility, evidence and overlap checks. If rejected, record the named gap and resolve it; rewording the same unsupported or overlapping proposal does not make it eligible. Worked examples below were regenerated through a scripted MCP replay on the date shown in each file. They illustrate executable calls and returned outputs, not a human acceptance session.

References

  • references/worked-example.md: tool outputs and findings for the fictional Cedar fixture, generated from tool calls; see its scripted replay date.

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