idea-pipeline

${var} — Optional theme filter (e.g. "crypto", "AI agents", "consumer"). If empty, scans all ideas. A pick:<id|name> value (from the "build next?" force-reply — e.g. pick:2 or pick:Onchain reputation) instead marks that idea as chosen-to-build in the backlog and ends, skipping the audit — see step 0. offer:<owner/repo or issue-url> directly offers a confirmed owned target through the same Telegram reply boundary, also ending before the audit.

Today is ${today}. Read memory/MEMORY.md before starting. If soul/SOUL.md + soul/STYLE.md exist and are populated, read them to ground "operator fit" scoring; otherwise score on the idea's general buildability and timing alone.

Why this skill exists

idea-forge validate evaluates ideas. Nothing tracks execution. Backlogs of dozens of ideas accumulate — some validated, most unscreened — with zero visibility into which ones have been acted on vs which are rotting. This skill gives that view: pipeline size, execution rate, and the 3 ideas closest to being buildable right now.

Steps

0. Force-reply interception — pick:<idea> / offer:<target> (run FIRST, before anything else)

If ${var} starts with offer:, strip and trim the remainder. Accept only owner/repo or https://github.com/owner/repo/issues/N, normalize it to owner/repo, and require gh api "repos/$repo" --jq '.permissions.push // false' to return true. Invalid, inaccessible, or API-failed targets get a plain rejection notification and end without a force reply. For a confirmed target, execute this exact command with Bash. Describing or printing the command is not delivery:

./notify "Which owned repository or issue should Aeon Engineer use? Reply with ${target}." \
  --force-reply --placeholder "${target}" \
  --context "dev-loop::ship"

After the command exits zero, require at least one non-empty JSON payload under ${AEON_PENDING_DIR}/notify-queue/ and that payload's .reply_markup.force_reply == true. A queued payload alone isn't enough — notify.sh queues one even when the inbound Messages workflow is disabled, but in that case sends the prompt as plain text (reply_markup:null) with no reply routing, so the operator's answer would never come back to this skill. If the command fails, the payload is absent, or force_reply isn't true, end with FORCE_REPLY_MISSING: dev-loop::ship target=<target> and do not claim the prompt was offered. Only after both checks pass, log FORCE_REPLY_OFFERED: dev-loop::ship target=<target> under ### idea-pipeline, then end. This is an explicit operator-invoked producer path and still does not dispatch the chain until the operator replies.

Otherwise, if ${var} starts with pick:, this run is the operator answering the "which idea to build next?" force-reply — do not run the normal audit. Handle it and end:

1. Strip the prefix: sel="${var#pick:}", then trim surrounding whitespace. The remainder may contain colons/spaces — keep them.
2. If sel is empty, send a plain re-ask (no force-reply) and end: ./notify "Which idea should I mark as next to build? Reply with its name or backlog number."
3. Read the shared backlog memory/topics/startup-ideas.md. If it's missing or has no idea rows, ./notify "No idea backlog yet — nothing to mark. Run idea-forge generate to fill it first." and end.
4. Resolve sel to exactly one idea row in the table (columns | date | name | one-liner | fit | T+F+E |):
   • By name (preferred): case-insensitive exact match on the name cell; else fuzzy — the row whose name shares the most significant words with sel, or where sel is a substring of the name (or vice-versa). Require one clear best match.
   • By number: if sel is a bare integer N and no name matches, take the Nth data row (1-based, in file order).
   • If nothing matches, or two rows tie with no clear winner, send a plain re-ask listing 3–5 candidate names and end: ./notify "Couldn't find an idea matching \"<sel>\". Reply with the exact name or backlog number. Candidates: <name1>, <name2>, <name3>."
5. Mark it chosen-to-build — the shared marking convention (identical in idea-forge): append ✓ selected ${today} to the end of that row's name cell, keeping the table pipes intact. If the cell already carries a ✓ selected marker, leave it (idempotent) — it's already queued.
6. Do not try to infer a GitHub target from the row. The backlog's row schema (columns | date | name | one-liner | fit | T+F+E |) never carries a repo or issue reference, so a per-row target lookup here would never match a real row. offer: (step 0) is the only path from a marked idea to a dev-loop dispatch — explicit and push-permission-gated on purpose.
7. Confirm with a short ./notify (keep it clean — no test/trace/ping/debug substrings): ./notify "Marked \"<idea name>\" as next to build — flagged in the backlog. Run /feature or /deploy-prototype on it when you're ready, or reply with: offer:<owner/repo> to have Aeon Engineer start on it directly." Do not auto-dispatch any skill — marking chosen is the safe action.
8. Log to memory/logs/${today}.md under a ### idea-pipeline heading: - IDEA_PIPELINE_PICK: marked "<idea name>" as chosen-to-build (from a pick: reply).
9. End the run. Do not proceed to step 1 or run the audit.

1. Load the idea backlog

Read memory/topics/startup-ideas.md. If it doesn't exist, log IDEA_PIPELINE_SKIP: no backlog at memory/topics/startup-ideas.md and stop — there's nothing to audit.

Parse the ideas table: extract name, one-liner, category/vertical, and date added for each idea. Total = N_total.

2. Load screening results

Read memory/topics/startup-ideas-screened.md (create if missing — empty table header only).

Extract ideas that have been screened. N_screened = count of rows.

From screened ideas, note those with viability >= 9 (high-potential). These are the priority pipeline.

3. Check execution — what's been built

Scan skills directory:

ls skills/

Collect the list of skill directory names. These are "executed ideas" in the agent space.

Scan cross-repo PRs by the operator and their bot accounts. Read memory/topics/git-identities.md if present (operator-defined list of GitHub usernames to scan). Fall back to the workflow's GITHUB_ACTOR if no list is configured.

gh pr list --author ${USERNAME} --state merged --limit 30 --json title,url,mergedAt

Scan deployed prototypes: read memory/topics/prototypes.md (or memory/topics/vercel.md) if either exists. Treat any project flagged as a prototype/MVP as a shipped idea.

Scan recent builds: read the last 14 days of memory/logs/ and collect any BUILD_SKILL_OK, CREATE_SKILL_OK, or DEPLOY_PROTOTYPE_OK entries.

4. Cross-reference: idea vs execution

For each idea in the full backlog:

• Check if any skill name or PR title contains keywords from the idea name/one-liner (fuzzy keyword match — at least 2 significant words overlap, or the core concept is clearly represented)
• Classify as: executed (clear match found) or unexecuted

N_executed = count of ideas with a clear match. N_gap = N_total − N_executed.

5. Load narrative context

Read memory/topics/market-context.md if present for current narrative keywords (tokens trending, tech themes, regulatory signals).

Read recent logs for any narrative signals (last 3 days).

Compile a list of 8–12 active narrative keywords (e.g. "agent payments", "RWA", "prediction markets", "privacy coins"). If no market-context source exists, derive keywords from recent digest, narrative-tracker, or github-trending outputs.

5b. Load builder-ecosystem signal

Read memory/topics/ecosystem.md if it exists (written by the retired builder-map skill, so usually absent; skip this step when it is). This is the second-stream feed — "who's adopting the watched stack" becomes idea fodder.

Extract two things:

• Underserved categories — Builder Categories with 0 or 1 known builders in the ecosystem map. Example: "social-sim" with no entries = an opening for a sim-prototype.
• Adjacent verticals — non-obvious verticals with active builders. Verticals that already crossed over tell you which directions the stack travels well.

Compile:

• underserved_categories — list of 2–5 categories with thin builder coverage
• adjacent_verticals — list of 2–4 non-obvious verticals with active builders

If memory/topics/ecosystem.md doesn't exist yet, skip this step and log idea_pipeline: ecosystem_feed=unavailable in step 10. Do not block the run.

6. Score unexecuted ideas for "build this week"

For each UNEXECUTED idea, compute a priority score:

priority = narrative_fit + operator_fit_estimated + recency_bonus + ecosystem_gap_bonus

narrative_fit:          0–4 (count of active narrative keywords that appear in idea name/one-liner/category; cap at 4)
operator_fit_estimated: 0–2 — read `soul/SOUL.md` if present; +2 if the idea matches the operator's stated themes, +1 if it's solo-buildable AND adjacent to current work, 0 otherwise. If no soul file, score 0 here and let other factors decide.
recency_bonus:          2 if added in last 14 days; 1 if last 30 days; 0 otherwise
ecosystem_gap_bonus:    3 if idea's category matches an `underserved_category` from step 5b; 2 if it matches an `adjacent_vertical`; 0 otherwise

Tie-break preference when scores match: ideas that fill an underserved-category gap > ideas that hit a hot narrative. The ecosystem signal is structural (where the stack is going); narratives rotate.

If ${var} is set, additionally filter to ideas whose category/text matches ${var}.

Sort descending. Pick top 3. For each pick, in step 7's Why now: line, name the ecosystem signal explicitly if ecosystem_gap_bonus > 0 (e.g. "no builders on the stack in this category yet" or "adjacent-vertical adoption arc").

7. Format and write the report

Write to output/articles/idea-pipeline-${today}.md:

# Idea Pipeline — ${today}

**Total ideas:** N_total | **Screened:** N_screened | **Executed:** N_executed | **Gap:** N_gap

## Build This Week

### 1. [Idea Name]
**One-liner:** [one-liner from backlog]
**Why now:** [1–2 sentences connecting to active narratives or ecosystem signal]
**Operator fit:** [why this fits the operator's stack/worldview — derived from soul/SOUL.md if present, otherwise the idea's general buildability]
**Execution path:** [one sentence on fastest way to build — skill, prototype, or external PR]

### 2. [Idea Name]
...

### 3. [Idea Name]
...

## Execution Log
Ideas already shipped (skill/prototype/PR match found):
- [executed idea] → [matching skill name or PR URL]
- ...

## High-Potential Unscreened
Top 3 ideas not yet screened by `idea-forge validate` that look most promising by keyword signal alone:
- [idea] — [one-liner]
- ...

---
*Source: memory/topics/startup-ideas.md | Generated by idea-pipeline*

8. Decide whether to notify

Always notify.

9. Format and send notification

Write to .pending-notify-temp/idea-pipeline-${today}.md (create dir if needed), then:

mkdir -p .pending-notify-temp
./notify -f .pending-notify-temp/idea-pipeline-${today}.md

Notification format — match the operator's voice if soul files are populated, otherwise direct and neutral:

idea pipeline — ${today}

${N_total} ideas. ${N_screened} screened. ${N_executed} executed. ${N_gap} waiting.

build this week:

1. [Idea Name] — [one-liner]
   why now: [1 sentence on timing/narrative fit]
   path: [skill / prototype / external-PR in ~N days]

2. [Idea Name] — [one-liner]
   why now: [1 sentence]
   path: [...]

3. [Idea Name] — [one-liner]
   why now: [1 sentence]
   path: [...]

Keep under 3000 chars.

9b. Offer a "build next?" follow-up (force-reply)

If at least one idea was surfaced under "Build This Week", offer the operator a one-tap way to pick which to build — as a separate ./notify after the digest (a digest and a force-reply prompt can't share one Telegram message). Skip the offer entirely on a run that surfaced no picks.

Dedup to once per day: scan the last ~2 days of memory/logs/ for FORCE_REPLY_OFFERED: idea-pipeline::pick; if present, skip this offer. Otherwise send:

./notify "Which of these should I mark as next to build? Reply with the idea's number or name." \
  --force-reply --placeholder "idea # or name" \
  --context "idea-pipeline::pick"

Then record the FORCE_REPLY_OFFERED: idea-pipeline::pick marker in step 10. A pick: reply routes back to this skill and is handled by step 0.

10. Log to memory

Append to memory/logs/${today}.md:

### idea-pipeline
- **Total ideas:** N_total
- **Screened:** N_screened (by `idea-forge validate`)
- **Executed:** N_executed (skill/prototype/PR match)
- **Gap:** N_gap unexecuted ideas
- **Top pick:** [idea name] — [priority score]
- **Ecosystem feed:** [available / unavailable] — [N underserved categories, M adjacent verticals] (from ecosystem.md, last written [date])
- **Filter:** [var value or "none"]
- **Notification:** sent
- **Force-reply offer:** [offered / skipped — already offered in last 2 days / skipped — no picks]
- FORCE_REPLY_OFFERED: idea-pipeline::pick   ← include this exact line ONLY when the offer was actually sent (it's the once/day dedup marker)
- IDEA_PIPELINE_OK

Required Env Vars

None. Uses local file reads and gh CLI (authenticated via GITHUB_TOKEN in workflow).

Network Note

No external network calls in the main logic. gh pr list uses the gh CLI which handles auth internally (no curl + token pattern needed). WebSearch not required — narrative context comes from memory/topics/market-context.md if present (no shipped skill writes it any more; it is operator-maintained).