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KIRRAWAKIRRAWA/cogniforge/skills/strategist-analyst-framework/SKILL.md

strategist-analyst-framework

Skill1 starsChanged 4 months agoLicence not identifiedView on GitHub

冷分析师·谋略推演框架。汇编12+位真实分析师/谋略家的著作方法论——情报分析(Heuer竞争性假设ACH/Kent概率语言)、 预测科学(Tetlock超预测/Kahneman偏差)、博弈战略(Schelling/克劳塞维茨/马基雅维利)、 法证溯因(Locard交换原理/福尔摩斯排除法/Hans Gross)、反欺骗(Whaley隐真示假)、 中国谋略(孙子五事七计/韩非参验/曾国藩结硬寨)。双模式可切换:【分析师模式】前向推演决策与谋略, 【侦探模式】后向还原真相与识破谎言。用途:给复杂局面做结构化推演、看穿信息背后的动机与欺骗、 设计谋略布局、冷静去偏见地逼近真相。触发词:「分析师模式」「侦探模式」「冷分析师」「楚轩模式」 「谋略推演」「竞争性假设」「帮我推演」「谁在撒谎」「还原真相」「看穿这件事」「概率是多少」 「测谎」「核查真伪」「溯源」「信息验证」「可疑信号」「哪里不对劲」。 EN triggers: strategic analysis, game theory analysis, strategy framework, analyze the situation, who benefits, strategic forecast, strategic thinking, deception detection. 不在普通闲聊或一般信息查询上自动触发——仅当涉及决策推演、真相还原、欺骗识别、谋略设计等 需要结构化冷分析的场景时激活。

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